Betting Systems and Strategies Analysis
Is there any way to win more in MLB betting? Is it possible to make a living with sports betting? Yes there are. There are lots of ways to win more and eliminate unnecessary losing series. Before learning these special techniques and MLB betting strategies, the first thing you should learn is not to make errors which shouldn’t be made.
One of the deadliest mistakes MLB baseball bettors often make is to bet on favorites. Well, it has NOTHING WRONG to bet on favorite, given that you’re a pro bettor who really understand the game and put in much efforts in the stats comparison before betting.
According to statistics for the past 10 years, favorites have lost an average of about 90 units per season. Does that indicate blindly betting underdogs will win you money? Of course not. If you had bet straight underdogs เว็บแทงบอลออนไลน์ you would have lost about 22 units averagely per season. Both were overall losers but obviously, underdogs lost less in MLB betting.
So what does that indicate?
The general public likes to bet favorites, be it in baseball, basketball or any other sports betting. It is easy to know that a favorite team should win and is very likely to win but you must compare those chances to the money line. Favorites have about a 58% chance of winning but they can still lose money in the long run. One of the tips I often use is to pick small favorites that can win and find decent underdog values when you make a baseball bet.
Another negative part of choosing favorite is that if you lose a big favorite which, happens all the time – the pressure is on to win three in a row to negate your loss on the big favorite. In reality, big favorites do go down more often than you might think. You can win a lot with them with lower odds. But if you’re unlucky losing a few series with them, it will take a pretty hard time for you to win your money back.
So how to find the winning underdogs?
When you’re not sure who to bet, bet on the home underdogs. It is always good to consider the home underdog in baseball if they are playing a divisional rival. Most division games are tough and home dogs offer value in MLB betting. Another place to look in MLB betting is at the underdog when they are hot. If they are hitting the ball well recently and are still a dog they have some value. You can also look at particular lefty/righty matchups were a team does well and is still a dog in MLB betting.
Apart from betting on favorite, another mistake bettors often make is betting on parlay. Parlay offers attractive great odds right? If you think betting parlay is a smart choice, sportsbooks who offer them are laughing at you behind their desk. Obviously, betting parlay is a much dangerous act than any kind of betting especially when you’re not good in betting on single bet. My advice is, master your single bet, make them a consistent profit only consider playing on parlay.
Avoiding these mistakes above can help you pick up more wins and eliminate some unnecessary losses as a whole. However, you surely know it isn’t enough just to avoid these mistakes. To win consistently in MLB, you need to know some unique techniques that are only applied to MLB betting and ultimately follow winning strategies, systems or picks with commitments and discipline.
Here’s one of the simple MLB betting tips. Have you ever heard of the ‘action pitcher’ and ‘listed pitcher’ option in MLB betting?
If you choose the ‘action pitcher’ option, it simply means your bet will take place even if there is a change to the starting pitcher. The ‘listed pitcher’ option works the opposite. Your bet will only take place if the listed starting pitcher at the time of the bet starts the game. If there is a change in starting pitchers, your bet is canceled. This simple technique isn’t a big tip but it can actually help to eliminate some losses in every of your bet.